The APCC ENSO Alert suggests “La Nina WATCH”. Whereas ENSO-neutral conditions are most probable during whole forecast period.
MME Temperature & Precipitation Seasonal Outlook for September 2025 ~ February 2026
Above normal temperatures is mostly probable for the globe except for the central and eastern tropical Pacific, India, Australia, and coasts of subtropical Africa for September — November 2025. Probability for above normal temperature is still dominant in most of continental region except for Canada in December 2025 — February 2026. Above normal precipitation is predicted for the Arctic, India, Maritime continent, northern Australia and southwest Pacific whereas below normal precipitation is predicted for the central Asia, equatorial central Pacific, the coasts of Africa for September — November 2025. During December 2025 — February 2026, above normal precipitation is expected for the Arctic and North Pacific. Below normal precipitation is expected for the eastern coast of tropical Africa, central off-equatorial Pacific, and some parts of East Asia.
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Climate Information Service
APCC produces high-cost climate data and information by operating a real-time and highly-validated climate prediction system based on a multi-climate model ensemble (MME) technique. APCC also carries out research in order to enhance capacity in the monitoring and prediction of weather and climate in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.
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