연구보고서
- 저자
- 김광형 박사
- 작성일
- 2018.04.24
- 조회
- 357
- 요약
- 목차
The application of a rice disease model for seasonal yield loss simulation in the Bicol region, or the Bicol Rice Disease Project (BIRD), was a collaborative partnership between APCC and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI). APCC became a co-implementing partner of IRI in 2015 for the Bicol Agri-Water Project (BAWP), which aimed to improve water security in the Philippines by adopting climate decision support tools and enhance agricultural development under climate variability and change. BAWP developed climate decision support tools and enhanced agricultural development under climate variability and change. This initiative, which ran from September 2012 to September 2017, fit well with APCC’s strategic plan to integrate climate products with sectoral applications such as agriculture.
APCC’s main activity was to extend the Climate-Agriculture Modeling Decision Tools (CAMDT) suite, the central output of BAWP. By integrating a disease model into CAMDT, APCC has enabled the translation of climate information into potential disease risk under given seasonal climate forecasts in the Bicol region. Since crop diseases are primarily governed by climate and weather conditions under fixed management options, it is possible to predict the infection risks of crop diseases. Coupling disease components with a crop model within the CAMDT decision support tool has allowed for a more accurate reflection of real field situations where crop losses frequently take place due to the biological constraints.
Thus, making disease risk information available, coupled with a potential rice crop yield loss simulation, will enable decision-makers to develop informed farm management strategies. Such strategic decisions include short-term ones (e.g. the choice of a resistant cultivar against a high risk profile disease, seasonal scheduling of chemical and cultural control methods, and identifying the ideal time for planting crops to minimize crop losses due to the diseases) but also decisions that do not directly pertain to disease management and yet have numerous crop health consequences (e.g. choices of the type of crop establishment, crop rotation, or cropping system).
The project had three main outcomes:
1. Capacities built for participating municipal agricultural technicians, provincial and regional level agricultural officials to manage climate risks to attain reduced losses due to pest damages at the municipal, provincial, and regional levels.
2. Improved management of agriculture systems at various scales through the validation and application of the CAMDT-Disease decision support tool. Users of the CAMDT-Disease were trained for how to utilize the disease risk information in their spray or agricultural management decisions using various farm simulation approaches.
3. Operational seasonal disease outlooks based on the APCC MME SCF strengthens APCC’s experience on climate services for agricultural sector in the APEC region. This will also play a positive role for the development of future projects in the similar areas utilizing the APCC MME SCF.