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Summary


Our seasonal forecasts are issued on the 20th of each month. In the case that the 20th falls on a weekend or national holiday, they are issued on the closest workday.

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Climate Outlook for August 2020 - January 2021


(Issued: 20 July, 2020)


○  During June 2020, weak negative sea surface temperature anomalies were observed over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

○  The latest APCC ENSO outlook suggests around a 60% chance of La Niña conditions with a weak intensity during August 2020 – January 2021.

○ ​ Strongly enhanced probability for above normal temperatures is predicted for the Arctic, western tropical Pacific (excluding equatorial region), northern North Pacific, and the tropical Atlantic for August 2020 – January 2021.

○ ​Strongly enhanced probability for below normal precipitation is predicted for the western equatorial Pacific for August – October 2020, and enhanced probability for below normal precipitation is expected for the same region for November 2020 – January 2020.