APCC News
APEC Climate Center to Provide a Climate Change Scenario with High Resolution of 25Km for Southeast Asian Region
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- Admin
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- 2015.10.14
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APEC Climate Center is providing a climate change scenario (future climate forecast information) with high resolution of 25Km, which can be used in regional customized climate disaster response and prevention in the Southeast Asia region, beginning October 6, 2015.
“Climate change scenario” is forecast information on future climate change (in temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind, etc). This information is produced from climate models that digitize future greenhouse gas concentrations and anticipated climate change caused by greenhouse gas, aerosol, human activities, etc. This preemptive information enables the Southeast Asian countries to evaluate the influence of climate change and minimize potential damage in their society.
According to research from the World Bank and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), countries in Southeast Asia (which are mostly developing countries that depend on the primary industries such as agriculture) were selected to be the most vulnerable to climate change. The Southeast Asia region is especially vulnerable to droughts, floods, and typhoons caused by climate change
Southeast Asian countries need climate change influenced forecast information that takes into account the regional character. But these countries are having trouble with information production due to the shortage of climate prediction infrastructure and capital.
APCC recently produced and provided future climate forecast information that reflects the influence of climate change in the Southeast Asia region, based on the recent UN’s IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th climate change scenario report. Now, policy-makers and disaster managers in the region can use that information to establish regionally-customized countermeasures against climate disasters such as prevention and effective response. APCC enhanced the spacial resolution of its regionally-customized climate change scenario from 45Km to 25Km. This regionally-customized climate change scenario is able to reflect the regional terrain, wind, precipitation, and other factors better than before.
The existing future climate forecast information with low resolution, displaying a very large region, cannot cover a watershed’s localized climate character. The future climate forecast information with high resolution, which is able to reflect regional climate character, is imperative for South-East countries to be able to effectively manage facilities like multipurpose dams, to prepare for potential disasters such as droughts and floods.
APCC provides this climate change scenario (future climate forecast information) for APEC member economies through ADSS (APCC Data Service System, Web: http://adss.apcc21.org/, menu: CORDEX-SEA/SEA-25) in the form of electronic files.
APCC’s future climate forecast information with high resolution of 25km, reflecting climate conditions such as wind, precipitation, geographic features, and others, will help Southeast Asian countries effectively establish policies and strategies to cope with climate change as well as effectively reduce the potential impacts of natural disasters.
APCC has been providing detailed climate change scenarios with a resolution of 45Km since September 30, 2014, targeting Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Laos, etc. in Southeast Asia.